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KNOW THE ODDS

A little less guesswork.

Explore reward chances with the numbers published by Epic Games.

PLAN WITH THE NUMBERS

What are your chances?

A calculation option, not a live event status. Check the in-game calendar for active Treasure Hours.

CHANCE OF AT LEAST ONE16.16%

Weekly Pickaxe or Back Bling

across 100 independent chest openings

Chance per chest1 in 568
Selected boost1×

Every chest is an independent chance. Previous misses do not improve your next drop, and this estimate does not guarantee a reward.

The official drop rates

Epic Games source
TreasureNormal matchTreasure Hours boost
Weekly Gold Outfit1 in 1,562,5007.5×
Pirate Shop Access1 in 137,5001.5×
Weekly Vehicle & Decal1 in 7,81310×
Weekly Pickaxe or Back Bling1 in 568No change
Weekly Jam Track1 in 391No change
Weekly Loading Screen1 in 272No change
Any Gizmo1 in 127No change

Verified November 11, 2026. Epic may update these rates. Calculation: 1 − (1 − probability per chest) ^ number of chests.